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** NCAA Trends and Index - Bowl Season **
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** NCAA Trends and Index - Bowl Season **
NCAAF Trends and Indexes
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NCAAF Matchup Links
NCAAF Matchups
NCAAF Hot or Not
NCAAF Trends
NCAAF News and Weather
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Re: ** NCAA Trends and Index - Bowl Season **
NCAAF
ARMY vs NAVY &
Salute to Veterans Bowl
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Trend Report
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Navy vs Army
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Navy's last 18 games when playing Army
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Navy's last 5 games
Army is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Army's last 18 games when playing Navy
South Alabama vs Western Michigan
South Alabama is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of South Alabama's last 9 games
South Alabama is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of South Alabama's last 9 games
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ARMY vs NAVY &
Salute to Veterans Bowl
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Trend Report
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Navy vs Army
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Navy's last 18 games when playing Army
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Navy's last 5 games
Army is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Army's last 18 games when playing Navy
South Alabama vs Western Michigan
South Alabama is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of South Alabama's last 9 games
South Alabama is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of South Alabama's last 9 games
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Re: ** NCAA Trends and Index - Bowl Season **
NCAAF
Dunkel
Bowl Season
NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up
Bowl Season
Tuesday’s game
Frisco Bowl (Frisco, TX)
Memphis (-4.5) vs West Virginia
Memphis (10-2)
Tigers won seven of last eight games; their losses were 56-44/44-36.
Memphis ran for 200+ yards in five of last six games.
Memphis has 10 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Tigers have 124 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Hanigan has 37 career starts.
Memphis won its last three bowl games.
This year, Tigers are 0-2-1 ATS as a single digit favorite.
Under Silverfield, Memphis is 13-24-1 ATS as a favorite.
Five of last six Memphis games went over the total.
Memphis was +7 in turnovers in its last two games.
Memphis is +19 in turnovers in its wins, minus-3 in losses.
AAC favorites are 7-6 ATS in non-conference games.
West Virginia (6-6)
WVU is 3-4 in last seven games; they fired their coach.
Rich Rodriguez was named the new coach Thursday.
West Virginia is 0-4 when it scores less than 31 points.
Mountaineers have 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Mountaineers have 113 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Greene has 14 career starts.
WVU is 4-4 ATS as an underdog this year.
WVU is 19-23 ATS last 42 games as an underdog.
Last four games, Mountaineers gave up 466.3 yards/game.
West Virginia lost two games where they scored 34-35 points.
Over is 8-3 in their last eleven games.
WVU is 2-3 in its last five bowls (favorites 4-1 ATS)
AAC teams are 3-4 SU in this game
Favorites are 7-3 ATS in last ten Frisco Bowls.
NCAAF
Bowl Season
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Trend Report
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Memphis vs West Virginia
Memphis is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of West Virginia's last 6 games
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Dunkel
Bowl Season
NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up
Bowl Season
Tuesday’s game
Frisco Bowl (Frisco, TX)
Memphis (-4.5) vs West Virginia
Memphis (10-2)
Tigers won seven of last eight games; their losses were 56-44/44-36.
Memphis ran for 200+ yards in five of last six games.
Memphis has 10 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Tigers have 124 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Hanigan has 37 career starts.
Memphis won its last three bowl games.
This year, Tigers are 0-2-1 ATS as a single digit favorite.
Under Silverfield, Memphis is 13-24-1 ATS as a favorite.
Five of last six Memphis games went over the total.
Memphis was +7 in turnovers in its last two games.
Memphis is +19 in turnovers in its wins, minus-3 in losses.
AAC favorites are 7-6 ATS in non-conference games.
West Virginia (6-6)
WVU is 3-4 in last seven games; they fired their coach.
Rich Rodriguez was named the new coach Thursday.
West Virginia is 0-4 when it scores less than 31 points.
Mountaineers have 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Mountaineers have 113 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Greene has 14 career starts.
WVU is 4-4 ATS as an underdog this year.
WVU is 19-23 ATS last 42 games as an underdog.
Last four games, Mountaineers gave up 466.3 yards/game.
West Virginia lost two games where they scored 34-35 points.
Over is 8-3 in their last eleven games.
WVU is 2-3 in its last five bowls (favorites 4-1 ATS)
AAC teams are 3-4 SU in this game
Favorites are 7-3 ATS in last ten Frisco Bowls.
NCAAF
Bowl Season
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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Memphis vs West Virginia
Memphis is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of West Virginia's last 6 games
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Re: ** NCAA Trends and Index - Bowl Season **
NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up
Bowl Season
Friday’s bowls
Armed Forces Bowl (@ Ft Worth, TX)
Oklahoma (-3) vs Navy
Oklahoma (6-6)
Oklahoma lost 5 of last 6 I-A games, but did upset Alabama.
Sooners are 0-6 when they allow more than 21 points.
Sooners were held under 300 TY in seven games.
Oklahoma has 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Sooners have 114 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Hawkins has thrown for 539 yards (1 TD, 2 INTs)
Under Venables, Oklahoma is 14-12-1 ATS as a favorite.
Sooners are 3-2 ATS as a favorite this season.
Sooners are 1-4 ATS TY games with single digit spreads.
Sooners are 5-0 if they score 24+ points, 1-6 if they don’t.
Oklahoma held five of last six foes to 110 or fewer rushing yards.
Over is 4-2 in their last six games.
Oklahoma lost its last two bowls, giving up 35-38 points.
Navy (9-3)
Navy split its last six games, after a 6-0 start.
Middies scored 28+ points in their wins, 14-10-0 in losses.
Navy ran for 200+ yards in nine of its 12 games.
Navy has 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Middies have 51 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Horvath has run ball for 895 yards, thrown for 1,154.
Navy is 3-2 ATS as an underdog this year.
Middies are 17-10 ATS in last 27 games as an underdog.
Navy hasn’t played in a game decided by less than 12 points.
Navy has +15 turnover ratio in wins, minus-8 in losses.
Under is 4-1 in their last five games.
Middies are 4-1 in last five bowls (their last bowl was 2019)
Since 2017, service academies are 5-0 in this game
Last eight years, underdogs are 5-3 ATS in this bowl.
Birmingham Bowl
Georgia Tech (-2.5) vs Vanderbilt
Georgia Tech (7-5)
Tech lost three of last five games, after a 5-2 start.
Tech lost last game 44-42 in OT to Georgia; they led 20-6.
Tech is 4-2 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Yellow Jackets have 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Yellow Jackets have 128 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB King has 20 career starts.
Tech’s best WR has bolted to Auburn.
Tech is 2-2-1 ATS as a favorite this year.
Under Key, Yellow Jackets are 3-7-1 ATS as a favorite.
Tech gave up 31 points in four of its five losses.
Under is 8-3 in their I-A games.
Tech outgained Georgia 563-405 in its last game.
Yellow Jackets won three of their last four bowls.
Vanderbilt (6-6)
Vandy lost its last three games, after a 6-3 start.
Last three games, Commodores allowed 487 TY/game.
Vandy is 4-0 when it gives up less than 24 points.
Commodores have 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Commodores have 121 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Pavia started 23 games at New Mexico State.
Vandy is 7-2 ATS as an underdog this season.
Under Lea, Vandy is 19-19 ATS as an underdog.
Vandy is +9 in turnovers; they weren’t minus in any game.
Vandy is 3-4 in games decided by 7 or less points.
Under is 5-1-1 in their last seven games.
This is Vanderbilt’s first bowl since 2018.
Last ten years, underdogs are 6-4 ATS in this bowl
Vanderbilt won this bowl in 2013.
Liberty Bowl (@ Memphis)
Texas Tech vs Arkansas (-1.5)
Texas Tech (8-4)
Texas Tech won 3 of last 4 games, scoring 56-52 in last two
Tech gave up 37-59-35-41 points in their four losses.
Tech is 6-1 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Red Raiders have 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Red Raiders have 125 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Morton started 12 games LY (27 TDs/8 INTs this year)
Texas Tech is 5-3-1 ATS TY in games with single digit spread.
Under McGuire, Red Raiders are 7-7 ATS as an underdog.
Texas Tech is 3-1 ATS as an underdog this year.
Last two games, Tech threw for 404-359 yards.
Tech gave up 432+ yards in four of last six games.
Over is 5-1 in Tech’s last six games.
Tech won its last three bowls, scoring 34-42-34 points.
Arkansas (6-6)
Arkansas lost three of its last four games.
Razorbacks were minus-2 in turnovers in each of last four games
Arkansas is 1-3 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Razorbacks have 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Razorbacks have 67 returning starts on the offensive line;
Junior QB Green started 22 games at Boise State.
Arkansas is 3-3 ATS TY in games with single digit spread.
Arkansas is 1-2 ATS as a favorite this year.
Under Pittman, Arkansas is 7-13-1 ATS as a favorite.
Razorbacks are 4-8 ATS in last 12 non-SEC games.
Six of Arkansas’ last nine games stayed under the total.
Arkansas won three of its last four bowl games.
Arkansas won this bowl 55-53 two years ago.
Tech won this bowl 34-7 three years ago.
Underdogs are 7-1 ATS in last eight Liberty Bowls.
Holiday Bowl (@ San Diego)
Syracuse (-17) vs Washington State
Syracuse (9-3)
Syracuse won last three games, scoring 33-31-42 points.
Syracuse is 8-1 when it scores 31+ points (24-13-31 in losses).
Orange has only two wins by more than eight points.
Syracuse has 10 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Orangemen have 77 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB McCord started 12 games at Ohio State last year.
Syracuse is 1-3 ATS as a favorite this year.
Orange is 12-7-1 ATS in last 20 games as a favorite.
Syracuse allowed 24+ points in each of its last six games.
Orange threw for 320+ yards in 10 of its 12 games.
Syracuse lost 26-24 to Stanford, a former Pac-12 team.
Over is 4-0-1 in their last five games.
Syracuse lost bowls the last two years, 28-20/45-0.
Washington State (7-4)
Wazzu’s QB bolted to Oklahoma, their coach to Wake Forest.
Coogs lost their last three games, by 1-3-3 points.
The new starting QB is making his first I-A start.
Coogs have 6 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Wazzu has 63 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Eckhaus played I-AA ball at Bryant; he threw 7 passes TY.
Wazzu is 2-1 ATS as an underdog this year.
Wazzu is 15-7-1 ATS in last 23 games as an underdog.
Coogs allowed 38+ points in three of their four losses.
Last six games, Coogs were +6 in turnovers.
Over is 3-1 in their last four games.
Wazzu lost four of its last five bowl games.
Underdogs are 6-2 ATS in last eight Holiday Bowls.
Since 2014, former Pac-12 teams are 3-5 SU/1-7 ATS in this bowl.
Las Vegas Bowl
USC vs Texas A&M (-3.5)
USC (6-6)
Trojans won three of their last five games.
USC is 2-5 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Trojns are 1-3 if they score less than 27 points.
USC has 5 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Trojans have 72 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Maiava started 11 games at UNLV; this is his 4th USC start.
USC is 0-6 when it gives up more than 21 points.
This year, Trojans are 2-1 ATS as an underdog.
Under Riley, USC is 4-3 ATS as an underdog.
In his career, Riley is 7-3 ATS as an underdog.
Under is 3-1 in their last four games.
USC lost three of its last four bowl games.
Texas A&M (8-3, 5-2)
A&M lost three of last four games, after a 7-1 start.
Aggies are 2-1 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
A&M is 8-1 when it scores more than 20 points.
Aggies have 9 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
A&M has 112 returning starts on offensive line.
Frosh QB Reed has 1,572 PY, with 12 TD’s, 4 INTs
A&M is 3-7 ATS as a favorite this season.
A&M is 8-15 ATS in its last 23 games as a favorite.
In his career, new HC Elko is 11-12 ATS as a favorite.
Aggies allowed 429+ TY in four of last five games.
Over is 7-3 in A&M’s last ten games.
Aggies won three of their last four bowls.
Favorites covered four of last five Las Vegas Bowls.
NCAAF
Bowl Season
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Oklahoma vs Navy
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma's last 6 games
Oklahoma is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Navy's last 5 games
Navy is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
Georgia Tech vs Vanderbilt
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Georgia Tech's last 14 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Vanderbilt's last 7 games
Vanderbilt is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games
Texas Tech vs Arkansas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas Tech's last 6 games
Texas Tech is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arkansas's last 9 games
Arkansas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Syracuse vs Washington State
Syracuse is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Syracuse's last 5 games
Washington State is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games
Washington State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Texas A&M vs Southern California
Texas A&M is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas A&M's last 7 games
Texas A&M is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas A&M's last 7 games
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Armadillo's Write-Up
Bowl Season
Friday’s bowls
Armed Forces Bowl (@ Ft Worth, TX)
Oklahoma (-3) vs Navy
Oklahoma (6-6)
Oklahoma lost 5 of last 6 I-A games, but did upset Alabama.
Sooners are 0-6 when they allow more than 21 points.
Sooners were held under 300 TY in seven games.
Oklahoma has 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Sooners have 114 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Hawkins has thrown for 539 yards (1 TD, 2 INTs)
Under Venables, Oklahoma is 14-12-1 ATS as a favorite.
Sooners are 3-2 ATS as a favorite this season.
Sooners are 1-4 ATS TY games with single digit spreads.
Sooners are 5-0 if they score 24+ points, 1-6 if they don’t.
Oklahoma held five of last six foes to 110 or fewer rushing yards.
Over is 4-2 in their last six games.
Oklahoma lost its last two bowls, giving up 35-38 points.
Navy (9-3)
Navy split its last six games, after a 6-0 start.
Middies scored 28+ points in their wins, 14-10-0 in losses.
Navy ran for 200+ yards in nine of its 12 games.
Navy has 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Middies have 51 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Horvath has run ball for 895 yards, thrown for 1,154.
Navy is 3-2 ATS as an underdog this year.
Middies are 17-10 ATS in last 27 games as an underdog.
Navy hasn’t played in a game decided by less than 12 points.
Navy has +15 turnover ratio in wins, minus-8 in losses.
Under is 4-1 in their last five games.
Middies are 4-1 in last five bowls (their last bowl was 2019)
Since 2017, service academies are 5-0 in this game
Last eight years, underdogs are 5-3 ATS in this bowl.
Birmingham Bowl
Georgia Tech (-2.5) vs Vanderbilt
Georgia Tech (7-5)
Tech lost three of last five games, after a 5-2 start.
Tech lost last game 44-42 in OT to Georgia; they led 20-6.
Tech is 4-2 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Yellow Jackets have 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Yellow Jackets have 128 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB King has 20 career starts.
Tech’s best WR has bolted to Auburn.
Tech is 2-2-1 ATS as a favorite this year.
Under Key, Yellow Jackets are 3-7-1 ATS as a favorite.
Tech gave up 31 points in four of its five losses.
Under is 8-3 in their I-A games.
Tech outgained Georgia 563-405 in its last game.
Yellow Jackets won three of their last four bowls.
Vanderbilt (6-6)
Vandy lost its last three games, after a 6-3 start.
Last three games, Commodores allowed 487 TY/game.
Vandy is 4-0 when it gives up less than 24 points.
Commodores have 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Commodores have 121 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Pavia started 23 games at New Mexico State.
Vandy is 7-2 ATS as an underdog this season.
Under Lea, Vandy is 19-19 ATS as an underdog.
Vandy is +9 in turnovers; they weren’t minus in any game.
Vandy is 3-4 in games decided by 7 or less points.
Under is 5-1-1 in their last seven games.
This is Vanderbilt’s first bowl since 2018.
Last ten years, underdogs are 6-4 ATS in this bowl
Vanderbilt won this bowl in 2013.
Liberty Bowl (@ Memphis)
Texas Tech vs Arkansas (-1.5)
Texas Tech (8-4)
Texas Tech won 3 of last 4 games, scoring 56-52 in last two
Tech gave up 37-59-35-41 points in their four losses.
Tech is 6-1 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Red Raiders have 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Red Raiders have 125 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Morton started 12 games LY (27 TDs/8 INTs this year)
Texas Tech is 5-3-1 ATS TY in games with single digit spread.
Under McGuire, Red Raiders are 7-7 ATS as an underdog.
Texas Tech is 3-1 ATS as an underdog this year.
Last two games, Tech threw for 404-359 yards.
Tech gave up 432+ yards in four of last six games.
Over is 5-1 in Tech’s last six games.
Tech won its last three bowls, scoring 34-42-34 points.
Arkansas (6-6)
Arkansas lost three of its last four games.
Razorbacks were minus-2 in turnovers in each of last four games
Arkansas is 1-3 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Razorbacks have 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Razorbacks have 67 returning starts on the offensive line;
Junior QB Green started 22 games at Boise State.
Arkansas is 3-3 ATS TY in games with single digit spread.
Arkansas is 1-2 ATS as a favorite this year.
Under Pittman, Arkansas is 7-13-1 ATS as a favorite.
Razorbacks are 4-8 ATS in last 12 non-SEC games.
Six of Arkansas’ last nine games stayed under the total.
Arkansas won three of its last four bowl games.
Arkansas won this bowl 55-53 two years ago.
Tech won this bowl 34-7 three years ago.
Underdogs are 7-1 ATS in last eight Liberty Bowls.
Holiday Bowl (@ San Diego)
Syracuse (-17) vs Washington State
Syracuse (9-3)
Syracuse won last three games, scoring 33-31-42 points.
Syracuse is 8-1 when it scores 31+ points (24-13-31 in losses).
Orange has only two wins by more than eight points.
Syracuse has 10 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Orangemen have 77 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB McCord started 12 games at Ohio State last year.
Syracuse is 1-3 ATS as a favorite this year.
Orange is 12-7-1 ATS in last 20 games as a favorite.
Syracuse allowed 24+ points in each of its last six games.
Orange threw for 320+ yards in 10 of its 12 games.
Syracuse lost 26-24 to Stanford, a former Pac-12 team.
Over is 4-0-1 in their last five games.
Syracuse lost bowls the last two years, 28-20/45-0.
Washington State (7-4)
Wazzu’s QB bolted to Oklahoma, their coach to Wake Forest.
Coogs lost their last three games, by 1-3-3 points.
The new starting QB is making his first I-A start.
Coogs have 6 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Wazzu has 63 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Eckhaus played I-AA ball at Bryant; he threw 7 passes TY.
Wazzu is 2-1 ATS as an underdog this year.
Wazzu is 15-7-1 ATS in last 23 games as an underdog.
Coogs allowed 38+ points in three of their four losses.
Last six games, Coogs were +6 in turnovers.
Over is 3-1 in their last four games.
Wazzu lost four of its last five bowl games.
Underdogs are 6-2 ATS in last eight Holiday Bowls.
Since 2014, former Pac-12 teams are 3-5 SU/1-7 ATS in this bowl.
Las Vegas Bowl
USC vs Texas A&M (-3.5)
USC (6-6)
Trojans won three of their last five games.
USC is 2-5 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Trojns are 1-3 if they score less than 27 points.
USC has 5 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Trojans have 72 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Maiava started 11 games at UNLV; this is his 4th USC start.
USC is 0-6 when it gives up more than 21 points.
This year, Trojans are 2-1 ATS as an underdog.
Under Riley, USC is 4-3 ATS as an underdog.
In his career, Riley is 7-3 ATS as an underdog.
Under is 3-1 in their last four games.
USC lost three of its last four bowl games.
Texas A&M (8-3, 5-2)
A&M lost three of last four games, after a 7-1 start.
Aggies are 2-1 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
A&M is 8-1 when it scores more than 20 points.
Aggies have 9 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
A&M has 112 returning starts on offensive line.
Frosh QB Reed has 1,572 PY, with 12 TD’s, 4 INTs
A&M is 3-7 ATS as a favorite this season.
A&M is 8-15 ATS in its last 23 games as a favorite.
In his career, new HC Elko is 11-12 ATS as a favorite.
Aggies allowed 429+ TY in four of last five games.
Over is 7-3 in A&M’s last ten games.
Aggies won three of their last four bowls.
Favorites covered four of last five Las Vegas Bowls.
NCAAF
Bowl Season
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Oklahoma vs Navy
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma's last 6 games
Oklahoma is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Navy's last 5 games
Navy is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
Georgia Tech vs Vanderbilt
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Georgia Tech's last 14 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Vanderbilt's last 7 games
Vanderbilt is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games
Texas Tech vs Arkansas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas Tech's last 6 games
Texas Tech is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arkansas's last 9 games
Arkansas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Syracuse vs Washington State
Syracuse is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Syracuse's last 5 games
Washington State is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games
Washington State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Texas A&M vs Southern California
Texas A&M is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas A&M's last 7 games
Texas A&M is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas A&M's last 7 games
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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Re: ** NCAA Trends and Index - Bowl Season **
NCAAF
Weather Report
Saturday, December 28
NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up
Bowl Season
Saturday’s games
Fenway Bowl (@ Boston)
North Carolina (-2.5) vs UConn
North Carolina (6-6)
New UNC coach Bill Belichick won’t be at this game.
North Carolina lost its last two games, giving up 41-35 points.
Tar Heels are 6-1 when they allow less than 34 points.
Tar Heels have 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Tar Heels have 59 returning starts on OL, 49 from one guy.
Junior QB Criswell has 2,003 passing yards (12 TD’s, 3 INTs)
Tar Heels are 1-5-1 ATS last as a favorite this year.
Last three games, UNC allowed 226 rushing yards/game.
Tar Heels are 7-9-2 ATS in last 18 non-conference games.
Carolina has three losses this year where they scored 30+ points.
Under is 5-3 in their last eight games.
UNC lost its last four bowls, giving up 44.3 ppg.
UConn (8-4)
UConn won four of its last five games.
Huskies are 5-0 giving up 20 or less points (gave up 50-26-23-31 in losses)
UConn has 6 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
UConn has 80 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Fagnano has 1,480 passing yards (18 TDs, 4 INTs)
Huskies are 0-3 vs ACC teams TY, losing by 5-3-7 points.
UConn is 2-2 ATS as an underdog this season.
Under Mora, Huskies are 12-10 ATS as an underdog.
In his college career, Mora is 22-24 ATS as an underdog.
Huskies are 4-3 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Over is 3-0-1 in UConn’s last four games
UConn lost their last three bowls; their last bowl win was in 2009.
ACC teams won both Fenway Bowls.
Pinstripe Bowl (@ Bronx, NY)
Boston College vs Nebraska (-3.5)
Boston College (7-5)
BC won three of last four games, scoring 35 ppg.
Eagles are 1-5 when they allow more than 23 points.
BC is 3-2 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Eagles have 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Eagles have 115 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB James has 901 PY (6 TDs, 2 INTs)
Boston College is 5-2 ATS as an underdog this year.
In his college career, O’Brien is 10-5 ATS as an underdog.
Since 2017, Eagles are 35-21 ATS as an underdog.
BC is 3-5 vs I-A teams when it scores less than 30 points.
Over is 6-0 in their last six games.
Eagles lost two of their last three bowl games.
Nebraska (6-6)
Nebraska lost five of its last six games.
Nebraska is 1-6 when it allows more than 10 points.
Last six games, Cornhuskers are minus-7 in turnovers.
Cornhuskers have 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Nebraska has 152 returning starts on OL, mostly from transfers.
Freshman QB Raiola has thrown for 2,582 yards (12 TDs, 10 INTs)
Nebraska is bowl eligible for first time since 2016.
Last five bowl games, Nebraska is 2-3 SU/3-2 ATS (underdog in all five)
In his career, Rhule is 1-2 in bowl games.
Nebraska is 4-2-1 ATS as a favorite this year.
As a college coach, Rhule is 27-23-1 ATS as a favorite.
Under is 7-4 in their I-A games.
Big 18 teams won the last seven Pinstripe Bowls.
Favorites are 4-2 ATS in last six Pinstripe Bowls
New Mexico Bowl (@ Albuquerque)
Louisiana vs TCU (-12.5)
Louisiana (10-3)
Louisiana split its last four games, after an 8-1 start.
Cajuns are 10-1 when they score 23+ points.
Louisiana is 2-2 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
ULL has 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
Cajuns have 91 starts back on offensive line.
Senior QB Wooldridge had 8 starts before this year.
Louisiana scored 34+ points in six of its last seven wins.
This season, Louisiana is 2-1 ATS as an underdog.
Under Desormeaux, ULL is 4-7 ATS as an underdog.
Cajuns allowed 200+ yards rushing in five of their 13 games.
Last nine games, ULL is +12 in turnovers.
Cajuns won four of their last five bowl games.
TCU (8-4)
Horned Frogs won three in row, five of last six games.
TCU is 7-0 when it gives up fewer than 30 points.
TCU scored 34+ points in four of last five games.
TCU has 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Horned Frogs have 77 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Hoover started six games last year.
TCU has only two I-A wins by more than 11 points.
TCU won/covered its last three games.
Under Dykes, is 14-11-1 ATS as a favorite.
In his career, Dykes is 44-43-2 ATS as a favorite.
Frogs are 8-4 despite being minus-9 in turnovers.
Over is 6-4 in their last ten games.
TCU is 3-1 in last four bowls; the loss was 65-7 in ’22 national title game.
Underdogs are 3-1 SU/4-0 ATS in this bowl the last four years.
Pop Tarts Bowl (@ Orlando, FL)
Iowa State vs Miami (-3.5)
Iowa State (10-3)
Iowa State split its last six games, after a 7-0 start.
ISU gave up 23-45-45 points in their losses.
Cyclones are 4-1 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Cyclones have 10 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Cyclones have 90 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Becht started 13 games last season.
In his career, Campbell is 36-19-2 ATS as an underdog.
Under Campbell, ISU is 25-14-2 ATS as an underdog.
Cyclones are 1-0 ATS as an underdog this season.
Last five games, Cyclones are minus-3 in turnovers.
Over is 7-5 in Iowa State’s I-A games.
Iowa State lost four of its last five bowl games.
Miami FL (10-2)
Miami lost two of last three games, after a 9-0 start.
Hurricanes scored 36+ points in their wins.
Miami’s losses: 28-23 @ Georgia Tech, 42-38 @ Syracuse.
Miami has 10 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Hurricanes have 121 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Ward has 25 career starts; he bolted from Washington State.
Hurricanes are 6-5 ATS as a favorite this year.
In his career, Cristobal is 36-45-2 ATS as a favorite.
Under Cristobal, Miami is 10-15 ATS as a favorite
Georgia Tech is only team that held Miami under 36 points this yeah.
Over is 7-3-1 in Miami games this season.
Miami lost its last five bowls; their last bowl win was in 2016.
Favorite are 7-1 ATS in this bowl the last eight years.
Big X teams are 3-5 ATS in this bowl the last eight years.
Arizona Bowl (@ Tucson)
Miami OH (-3) vs Colorado State
Miami (8-5)
Redhawks won 7 of last 8 games, after a 1-4 start.
Miami is 1-5 when it scores fewer than 23 points.
Miami is 2-1 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Redhawks have 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Miami has 100 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Gabbert has 37 career starts.
Miami is 4-4 ATS as a favorite this season.
Redhawks are 11-5 ATS in last 16 games as a favorite.
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Miami is 4-4 ATS TY in games with single digit spread.
Miami held five of last seven opponents under 300 TY.
Under is 3-1 in Miami’s last four games.
Redhawks lost four of their last five bowls.
Colorado State (8-4)
Rams are 6-1 in last seven games, after a 2-3 start.
CSU gave up 52-28-39-28 points in their losses.
Rams are3-2 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Rams have 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
CSU has 94 starts returning on the offensive line.
Rams’ soph QB has 11 starts; he threw 22 TD’s, 16 INT’s last year.
Rams are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games overall.
Rams are 1-3 ATS as an underdog this season.
Under Norvell, Rams are 10-10 ATS as underdogs.
In his career, Norvell is 30-21 ATS as an underdog.
Over is 3-1 in their last four games.
Colorado State lost its last four bowls (last bowl win, 2013)
Since 2015, underdogs are 4-3 ATS in this bowl.
Last eight years, Mountain West teams are 6-2 SU/5-3 ATS in this bowl.
Military Bowl (@ Annapolis, MD)
East Carolina vs NC State (-6)
East Carolina (7-5)
ECU fired its coach mid-season; interim coach is the new full-time coach
Pirates are 1-5 when they score fewer than 30 points.
Last five games, ECU ran ball for 247.8 yards/game.
ECU has 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Pirates have 61 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Houser has 1,859 PY (18 TD’s, 9 INT’s)
ECU won four of last five games, after a 3-4 start.
ECU is 3-2 ATS as an underdog this season.
Pirates are 25-17 ATS in last 42 games as an underdog.
ECU is 2-1 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.
ECU split its last four bowl games (favorites 4-0 ATS)
NC State (6-6)
Wolfpack ran ball for 220+ yards in three of last four games.
State is minus-6 in turnovers in their last six games.
State is 3-3 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
NC State has 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Wolfpack has 95 returning starts on the offensive line.
Frosh QB Bailey has thrown for 2,182 yards (14 TD’s, 9 INTs)
Wolfpack is 5-12 ATS in last 17 games as a favorite.
State is 1-4 ATS as a favorite this season.
Under Deoren, Wolfpack is 39-42 ATS as a favorite.
Wolfpack is 0-3 when they score less than 24 points.
Over is 4-1 in their last five games.
Wolfpack lost its last four bowl games (last win, 2017)
NC State (-12) beat East Carolina 21-20 in 2022 season opener.
Favorites are 4-1 ATS in last five Military Bowls
ACC teams are 4-2 SU/ATS in last six Military Bowls
Alamo Bowl (@ San Antonio)
BYU vs Colorado (-3.5)
BYU (10-2)
BYU lost two of last three games, after a 9-0 start.
BYU’s losses: 17-13 vs Kansas, 28-23 at Arizona State
BYU is 4-2 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Cougars have 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Broncos have 88 starts returning on the offensive line.
Junior QB Retzlaff started four games LY.
BYU is 4-1 ATS as an underdog this season.
In his career, coach Sitake is 25-14-1 ATS as an underdog.
BYU three of last four opponents under 260 TY.
BYU is 8-0 when it scores 24+ points.
Seven of their last eight games went over the total.
BYU is 3-2 SU/ATS in its last five bowl games.
Colorado (9-3)
Colorado won five of its last six games (9-1 ATS).
Colorado scored 31+ points in eight of its nine wins.
Buffs are 2-1 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Colorado has 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Colorado has 100 returning starts on offensive line, and a new OL coach.
QB Sanders started 11 games LY, after playing multiple years at I-AA Jackson State.
Sanders is 8-4 ATS as a favorite with Colorado.
Colorado is 11-6 ATS last 17 games as a favorite.
Last four games, Colorado is +7 in turnovers.
Over is 5-3-1 in their last nine games.
This is Colorado’s first bowl since 2020
Colorado’s last bowl win was in 2004, 33-28 (-4) over UTEP
Favorites are 6-5 ATS in last eleven Alamo Bowls.
Colorado lost this game in 2016, 2020
Independence Bowl (@ Shreveport, LA)
Army (-16.5) vs Louisiana Tech
Army (11-2)
Army split its last four games, after a 9-0 start.
Army’s losses: 49-14 to Notre Dame, 31-13 to Navy
Army has nine wins by 17+ points.
Army has 8 starters back on offense, 3 on defense
Black Knights have 85 starts back on offensive line.
Senior QB Daily started 10 games last year.
In two losses, Army gave up 273-271 rushing yards.
Army is 5-4 ATS as a favorite this season.
Army is 25-29 ATS last 54 games as a favorite.
Army ran ball for 200+ yards in 12 of its 13 games.
Over is 3-1 in their last four games.
Army won 4 of last 5 bowls (last bowl was in 2021)
Louisiana Tech (5-7)
Tech is 4-7 vs I-A teams, with four losses by 7 or less points.
Bulldogs are 1-5 when they give up more than 17 points.
Tech has only one loss by more than 10 points (14-35 @ Arkansas)
Tech has 5 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Tech has 79 returning starts on offensive line.
Frosh QB Bullock has 1,941 passing yards (14 TD, 2 INTs).
Tech is 5-0 ATS as an underdog this season.
Under Cumbie, Tech is 10-9 ATS as an underdog.
In his career, Cumbie is 12-11 ATS as an underdog.
Arkansas is only team to run for 200+ yards vs Tech this year
Under is 4-2 in their last six games.
Bulldogs won four of their last five bowl games.
Underdogs are 3-1-1 ATS in last five Independence Bowls
Weather Report
Saturday, December 28
NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up
Bowl Season
Saturday’s games
Fenway Bowl (@ Boston)
North Carolina (-2.5) vs UConn
North Carolina (6-6)
New UNC coach Bill Belichick won’t be at this game.
North Carolina lost its last two games, giving up 41-35 points.
Tar Heels are 6-1 when they allow less than 34 points.
Tar Heels have 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Tar Heels have 59 returning starts on OL, 49 from one guy.
Junior QB Criswell has 2,003 passing yards (12 TD’s, 3 INTs)
Tar Heels are 1-5-1 ATS last as a favorite this year.
Last three games, UNC allowed 226 rushing yards/game.
Tar Heels are 7-9-2 ATS in last 18 non-conference games.
Carolina has three losses this year where they scored 30+ points.
Under is 5-3 in their last eight games.
UNC lost its last four bowls, giving up 44.3 ppg.
UConn (8-4)
UConn won four of its last five games.
Huskies are 5-0 giving up 20 or less points (gave up 50-26-23-31 in losses)
UConn has 6 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
UConn has 80 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Fagnano has 1,480 passing yards (18 TDs, 4 INTs)
Huskies are 0-3 vs ACC teams TY, losing by 5-3-7 points.
UConn is 2-2 ATS as an underdog this season.
Under Mora, Huskies are 12-10 ATS as an underdog.
In his college career, Mora is 22-24 ATS as an underdog.
Huskies are 4-3 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Over is 3-0-1 in UConn’s last four games
UConn lost their last three bowls; their last bowl win was in 2009.
ACC teams won both Fenway Bowls.
Pinstripe Bowl (@ Bronx, NY)
Boston College vs Nebraska (-3.5)
Boston College (7-5)
BC won three of last four games, scoring 35 ppg.
Eagles are 1-5 when they allow more than 23 points.
BC is 3-2 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Eagles have 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Eagles have 115 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB James has 901 PY (6 TDs, 2 INTs)
Boston College is 5-2 ATS as an underdog this year.
In his college career, O’Brien is 10-5 ATS as an underdog.
Since 2017, Eagles are 35-21 ATS as an underdog.
BC is 3-5 vs I-A teams when it scores less than 30 points.
Over is 6-0 in their last six games.
Eagles lost two of their last three bowl games.
Nebraska (6-6)
Nebraska lost five of its last six games.
Nebraska is 1-6 when it allows more than 10 points.
Last six games, Cornhuskers are minus-7 in turnovers.
Cornhuskers have 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Nebraska has 152 returning starts on OL, mostly from transfers.
Freshman QB Raiola has thrown for 2,582 yards (12 TDs, 10 INTs)
Nebraska is bowl eligible for first time since 2016.
Last five bowl games, Nebraska is 2-3 SU/3-2 ATS (underdog in all five)
In his career, Rhule is 1-2 in bowl games.
Nebraska is 4-2-1 ATS as a favorite this year.
As a college coach, Rhule is 27-23-1 ATS as a favorite.
Under is 7-4 in their I-A games.
Big 18 teams won the last seven Pinstripe Bowls.
Favorites are 4-2 ATS in last six Pinstripe Bowls
New Mexico Bowl (@ Albuquerque)
Louisiana vs TCU (-12.5)
Louisiana (10-3)
Louisiana split its last four games, after an 8-1 start.
Cajuns are 10-1 when they score 23+ points.
Louisiana is 2-2 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
ULL has 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
Cajuns have 91 starts back on offensive line.
Senior QB Wooldridge had 8 starts before this year.
Louisiana scored 34+ points in six of its last seven wins.
This season, Louisiana is 2-1 ATS as an underdog.
Under Desormeaux, ULL is 4-7 ATS as an underdog.
Cajuns allowed 200+ yards rushing in five of their 13 games.
Last nine games, ULL is +12 in turnovers.
Cajuns won four of their last five bowl games.
TCU (8-4)
Horned Frogs won three in row, five of last six games.
TCU is 7-0 when it gives up fewer than 30 points.
TCU scored 34+ points in four of last five games.
TCU has 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Horned Frogs have 77 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Hoover started six games last year.
TCU has only two I-A wins by more than 11 points.
TCU won/covered its last three games.
Under Dykes, is 14-11-1 ATS as a favorite.
In his career, Dykes is 44-43-2 ATS as a favorite.
Frogs are 8-4 despite being minus-9 in turnovers.
Over is 6-4 in their last ten games.
TCU is 3-1 in last four bowls; the loss was 65-7 in ’22 national title game.
Underdogs are 3-1 SU/4-0 ATS in this bowl the last four years.
Pop Tarts Bowl (@ Orlando, FL)
Iowa State vs Miami (-3.5)
Iowa State (10-3)
Iowa State split its last six games, after a 7-0 start.
ISU gave up 23-45-45 points in their losses.
Cyclones are 4-1 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Cyclones have 10 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Cyclones have 90 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Becht started 13 games last season.
In his career, Campbell is 36-19-2 ATS as an underdog.
Under Campbell, ISU is 25-14-2 ATS as an underdog.
Cyclones are 1-0 ATS as an underdog this season.
Last five games, Cyclones are minus-3 in turnovers.
Over is 7-5 in Iowa State’s I-A games.
Iowa State lost four of its last five bowl games.
Miami FL (10-2)
Miami lost two of last three games, after a 9-0 start.
Hurricanes scored 36+ points in their wins.
Miami’s losses: 28-23 @ Georgia Tech, 42-38 @ Syracuse.
Miami has 10 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Hurricanes have 121 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Ward has 25 career starts; he bolted from Washington State.
Hurricanes are 6-5 ATS as a favorite this year.
In his career, Cristobal is 36-45-2 ATS as a favorite.
Under Cristobal, Miami is 10-15 ATS as a favorite
Georgia Tech is only team that held Miami under 36 points this yeah.
Over is 7-3-1 in Miami games this season.
Miami lost its last five bowls; their last bowl win was in 2016.
Favorite are 7-1 ATS in this bowl the last eight years.
Big X teams are 3-5 ATS in this bowl the last eight years.
Arizona Bowl (@ Tucson)
Miami OH (-3) vs Colorado State
Miami (8-5)
Redhawks won 7 of last 8 games, after a 1-4 start.
Miami is 1-5 when it scores fewer than 23 points.
Miami is 2-1 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Redhawks have 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Miami has 100 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Gabbert has 37 career starts.
Miami is 4-4 ATS as a favorite this season.
Redhawks are 11-5 ATS in last 16 games as a favorite.
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Miami is 4-4 ATS TY in games with single digit spread.
Miami held five of last seven opponents under 300 TY.
Under is 3-1 in Miami’s last four games.
Redhawks lost four of their last five bowls.
Colorado State (8-4)
Rams are 6-1 in last seven games, after a 2-3 start.
CSU gave up 52-28-39-28 points in their losses.
Rams are3-2 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Rams have 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
CSU has 94 starts returning on the offensive line.
Rams’ soph QB has 11 starts; he threw 22 TD’s, 16 INT’s last year.
Rams are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games overall.
Rams are 1-3 ATS as an underdog this season.
Under Norvell, Rams are 10-10 ATS as underdogs.
In his career, Norvell is 30-21 ATS as an underdog.
Over is 3-1 in their last four games.
Colorado State lost its last four bowls (last bowl win, 2013)
Since 2015, underdogs are 4-3 ATS in this bowl.
Last eight years, Mountain West teams are 6-2 SU/5-3 ATS in this bowl.
Military Bowl (@ Annapolis, MD)
East Carolina vs NC State (-6)
East Carolina (7-5)
ECU fired its coach mid-season; interim coach is the new full-time coach
Pirates are 1-5 when they score fewer than 30 points.
Last five games, ECU ran ball for 247.8 yards/game.
ECU has 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Pirates have 61 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Houser has 1,859 PY (18 TD’s, 9 INT’s)
ECU won four of last five games, after a 3-4 start.
ECU is 3-2 ATS as an underdog this season.
Pirates are 25-17 ATS in last 42 games as an underdog.
ECU is 2-1 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.
ECU split its last four bowl games (favorites 4-0 ATS)
NC State (6-6)
Wolfpack ran ball for 220+ yards in three of last four games.
State is minus-6 in turnovers in their last six games.
State is 3-3 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
NC State has 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Wolfpack has 95 returning starts on the offensive line.
Frosh QB Bailey has thrown for 2,182 yards (14 TD’s, 9 INTs)
Wolfpack is 5-12 ATS in last 17 games as a favorite.
State is 1-4 ATS as a favorite this season.
Under Deoren, Wolfpack is 39-42 ATS as a favorite.
Wolfpack is 0-3 when they score less than 24 points.
Over is 4-1 in their last five games.
Wolfpack lost its last four bowl games (last win, 2017)
NC State (-12) beat East Carolina 21-20 in 2022 season opener.
Favorites are 4-1 ATS in last five Military Bowls
ACC teams are 4-2 SU/ATS in last six Military Bowls
Alamo Bowl (@ San Antonio)
BYU vs Colorado (-3.5)
BYU (10-2)
BYU lost two of last three games, after a 9-0 start.
BYU’s losses: 17-13 vs Kansas, 28-23 at Arizona State
BYU is 4-2 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Cougars have 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Broncos have 88 starts returning on the offensive line.
Junior QB Retzlaff started four games LY.
BYU is 4-1 ATS as an underdog this season.
In his career, coach Sitake is 25-14-1 ATS as an underdog.
BYU three of last four opponents under 260 TY.
BYU is 8-0 when it scores 24+ points.
Seven of their last eight games went over the total.
BYU is 3-2 SU/ATS in its last five bowl games.
Colorado (9-3)
Colorado won five of its last six games (9-1 ATS).
Colorado scored 31+ points in eight of its nine wins.
Buffs are 2-1 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Colorado has 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Colorado has 100 returning starts on offensive line, and a new OL coach.
QB Sanders started 11 games LY, after playing multiple years at I-AA Jackson State.
Sanders is 8-4 ATS as a favorite with Colorado.
Colorado is 11-6 ATS last 17 games as a favorite.
Last four games, Colorado is +7 in turnovers.
Over is 5-3-1 in their last nine games.
This is Colorado’s first bowl since 2020
Colorado’s last bowl win was in 2004, 33-28 (-4) over UTEP
Favorites are 6-5 ATS in last eleven Alamo Bowls.
Colorado lost this game in 2016, 2020
Independence Bowl (@ Shreveport, LA)
Army (-16.5) vs Louisiana Tech
Army (11-2)
Army split its last four games, after a 9-0 start.
Army’s losses: 49-14 to Notre Dame, 31-13 to Navy
Army has nine wins by 17+ points.
Army has 8 starters back on offense, 3 on defense
Black Knights have 85 starts back on offensive line.
Senior QB Daily started 10 games last year.
In two losses, Army gave up 273-271 rushing yards.
Army is 5-4 ATS as a favorite this season.
Army is 25-29 ATS last 54 games as a favorite.
Army ran ball for 200+ yards in 12 of its 13 games.
Over is 3-1 in their last four games.
Army won 4 of last 5 bowls (last bowl was in 2021)
Louisiana Tech (5-7)
Tech is 4-7 vs I-A teams, with four losses by 7 or less points.
Bulldogs are 1-5 when they give up more than 17 points.
Tech has only one loss by more than 10 points (14-35 @ Arkansas)
Tech has 5 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Tech has 79 returning starts on offensive line.
Frosh QB Bullock has 1,941 passing yards (14 TD, 2 INTs).
Tech is 5-0 ATS as an underdog this season.
Under Cumbie, Tech is 10-9 ATS as an underdog.
In his career, Cumbie is 12-11 ATS as an underdog.
Arkansas is only team to run for 200+ yards vs Tech this year
Under is 4-2 in their last six games.
Bulldogs won four of their last five bowl games.
Underdogs are 3-1-1 ATS in last five Independence Bowls