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** NCAA Trends and Index - Champ week **

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** NCAA Trends and Index - Champ week **

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Re: ** NCAA Trends and Index - Champ week **

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WEEK 14

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Re: ** NCAA Trends and Index - Champ week **

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USC is 7-1 Over (5.9 Units) after 4 consecutive games where they committed 1 or less turnovers in the current season.

TCU is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers in the current season.

UCF is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) after scoring 42 points or more last game in the last 3 seasons.

GEORGIA is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in road games when the total is 49.5-56 over the last 2 seasons.

CLEMSON is 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) in road games vs. excellent punt return teams, more than 12 yards per return since 1992.

MICHIGAN is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored over the last 2 seasons.

BUFFALO is 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) off a close loss by 7 points or less to a conference rival since 1992.

NORTH TEXAS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games vs. poor punt return teams, less than 7.5 yards per return over the last 2 seasons.

OHIO U is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) against conference opponents in the current season.

TROY is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) against conference opponents in the current season.

FRESNO ST is 30-15 ATS (13.5 Units) off 3 straight wins against conference rivals since 1992.

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Re: ** NCAA Trends and Index - Champ week **

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NORTH TEXAS (7 - 5) at UTSA (10 - 2) - 12/2/2022, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NORTH TEXAS is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NORTH TEXAS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NORTH TEXAS is 2-1 against the spread versus UTSA over the last 3 seasons
UTSA is 2-1 straight up against NORTH TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


UTAH (9 - 3) vs. USC (11 - 1) - 12/2/2022, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 201-162 ATS (+22.8 Units) in all games since 1992.
UTAH is 201-162 ATS (+22.8 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
UTAH is 69-40 ATS (+25.0 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
UTAH is 139-107 ATS (+21.3 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
UTAH is 130-96 ATS (+24.4 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
UTAH is 89-64 ATS (+18.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
UTAH is 51-30 ATS (+18.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
USC is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in December games since 1992.
USC is 37-58 ATS (-26.8 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
USC is 2-1 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 2-1 straight up against USC over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


AKRON (2 - 9) at BUFFALO (5 - 6) - 12/2/2022, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
AKRON is 82-111 ATS (-40.1 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
BUFFALO is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 2-0 against the spread versus AKRON over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 2-0 straight up against AKRON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


KANSAS ST (9 - 3) vs. TCU (12 - 0) - 12/3/2022, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TCU is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all games this season.
TCU is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
TCU is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
KANSAS ST is 199-154 ATS (+29.6 Units) in all games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 199-154 ATS (+29.6 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 84-58 ATS (+20.2 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 149-104 ATS (+34.6 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 186-137 ATS (+35.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 153-109 ATS (+33.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 146-101 ATS (+34.9 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 154-119 ATS (+23.1 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS ST is 2-1 against the spread versus TCU over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS ST is 2-1 straight up against TCU over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


TOLEDO (7 - 5) vs. OHIO U (9 - 3) - 12/3/2022, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO U is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) against conference opponents this season.
OHIO U is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after playing a conference game this season.
OHIO U is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in games played on turf this season.
OHIO U is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TOLEDO is 1-0 against the spread versus OHIO U over the last 3 seasons
TOLEDO is 1-0 straight up against OHIO U over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


COASTAL CAROLINA (9 - 2) at TROY (10 - 2) - 12/3/2022, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TROY is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) against conference opponents this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TROY is 2-0 against the spread versus COASTAL CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
COASTAL CAROLINA is 2-0 straight up against TROY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


UCF (9 - 3) at TULANE (10 - 2) - 12/3/2022, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TULANE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all games this season.
TULANE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
TULANE is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
TULANE is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) against conference opponents this season.
TULANE is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
TULANE is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
TULANE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in games played on turf this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TULANE is 2-1 against the spread versus UCF over the last 3 seasons
UCF is 3-0 straight up against TULANE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


FRESNO ST (8 - 4) at BOISE ST (9 - 3) - 12/3/2022, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOISE ST is 170-127 ATS (+30.3 Units) in all games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 170-127 ATS (+30.3 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 109-79 ATS (+22.1 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
BOISE ST is 106-77 ATS (+21.3 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
BOISE ST is 95-66 ATS (+22.4 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOISE ST is 2-0 against the spread versus FRESNO ST over the last 3 seasons
BOISE ST is 2-0 straight up against FRESNO ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


LSU (9 - 3) vs. GEORGIA (12 - 0) - 12/3/2022, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA is 81-51 ATS (+24.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
LSU is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in December games since 1992.
LSU is 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


CLEMSON (10 - 2) vs. N CAROLINA (9 - 3) - 12/3/2022, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N CAROLINA is 42-25 ATS (+14.5 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.
N CAROLINA is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


PURDUE (8 - 4) vs. MICHIGAN (12 - 0) - 12/3/2022, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Re: ** NCAA Trends and Index - Champ week **

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NCAAF

Week 14

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Trend Report
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Akron @ Buffalo
Akron
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Akron's last 5 games when playing Buffalo
Akron is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Buffalo
Buffalo is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Akron
Buffalo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Akron

North Texas @ Texas-San Antonio
North Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of North Texas's last 8 games when playing Texas-San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of North Texas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Texas-San Antonio
Texas-San Antonio
Texas-San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Texas-San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Toledo @ Ohio
Toledo
Toledo is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Ohio
Toledo is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Ohio
Ohio is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Ohio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Coastal Carolina @ Troy
Coastal Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Coastal Carolina's last 5 games when playing Troy
Coastal Carolina is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games on the road
Troy
Troy is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Troy is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Louisiana State @ Georgia
Louisiana State
Louisiana State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Louisiana State's last 6 games
Georgia
Georgia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Georgia's last 9 games when playing Louisiana State

Fresno State @ Boise State
Fresno State
Fresno State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Fresno State's last 7 games when playing Boise State
Boise State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boise State's last 5 games at home
Boise State is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Fresno State

Clemson @ North Carolina
Clemson
Clemson is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games
Clemson is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing North Carolina
North Carolina
North Carolina is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of North Carolina's last 7 games when playing Clemson

Purdue @ Michigan
Purdue
Purdue is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
Purdue is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Michigan
Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Michigan is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing Purdue


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NCAAF

Week 14

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Trend Report
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Utah @ Southern California
Utah
Utah is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games
Southern California
Southern California is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Southern California's last 5 games


Kansas State @ Texas Christian
Kansas State
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas State's last 7 games when playing Texas Christian
Kansas State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Texas Christian
Texas Christian is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Texas Christian's last 7 games when playing Kansas State


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Re: ** NCAA Trends and Index - Champ week **

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College Football Betting Trends - Week 14
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Re: ** NCAA Trends and Index - Champ week **

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NCAAF
Weather Report

Week 14

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Kansas State Wildcats Betting Analysis

Will Howard has brought a new dynamic to Kansas State's offense. The Wildcats did a lot of RPO with Adrian Martinez under center through the first half of the season in order to take advantage of Martinez's speed and mobility. However, Martinez wasn't that good of a passer, and that led to Howard eventually taking over at quarterback. Howard is averaging 9.3 YPA with 13 touchdowns and two interceptions on the year, and he has only been sacked three times. That has led to Kansas State scoring at least 27 points in each of its last six games to close out the season.

Deuce Vaughn didn't see enough action the last time Kansas State played TCU, and you can be sure that he will have more touches in the rematch. Vaughn has been one of the top running backs in the Big 12 for two straight seasons, and he has run for 1,295 yards (5.3 YPC) and seven touchdowns this season. He is averaging 8.7 YPR as the player with the second-more receptions on the team too. Malik Knowles is the top overall receiver for the Wildcats with 46 receptions for 679 yards and two touchdowns, but there are five players on this offense that have at least 340 receiving yards.

Kansas State's defense is ranked 15th in SP+. The Wildcats are led by Big 12 Defensive Player of the Year Felix Anudike-Uzomah who recorded 7.5 sacks and two forced fumbles, and they rank 11th nationally in interception rate. Three different players have at least three interceptions, so they can punish TCU's passing attack if the Horned Frogs get too greedy looking for big plays.

TCU Horned Frogs Betting Analysis

Big 12 Offensive Player of the Year Max Duggan has had a sensational senior season for TCU. Duggan wasn't the No. 1 quarterback at the start of the season after three largely mediocre years with the Horned Frogs, but he ended up thriving in Sonny Dykes' offense. He has completed 66.6% of his passes for 3,070 yards (9.2 YPA) with 29 touchdowns and three interceptions so far this campaign. However, Duggan has had some struggles over the last month, so the book might be out to a degree on this offense.

Quentin Johnston has missed two of the last four games with an ankle injury, so he won't be at his best this week. That will put a lot of pressure on TCU's No. 2 receiver Taye Barber who has 31 receptions for 567 yards and three touchdowns on the year. Leading rusher Kendre Miller is a little banged up too, and he wasn't as effective the last two weeks as he was earlier in the season. Miller has run for 1,260 yards (6.3 YPC) and 16 touchdowns this season, but he isn't much of a receiver out of the backfield.

TCU's defense is ranked 31st in SP+. The Horned Frogs have had a little trouble stopping the run at times, allowing 4.1 YPC and 149.7 YPG on the ground. Linebacker Dee Winters was a First Team All-Big 12 selection and leads the Horned Frogs with 6.5 sacks, while defensive backs Tre'Vius Hodges-Tomlinson and Josh Newton were also First Team All-Conference picks after combining for six interceptions. This defensive line can be gashed up front though by a team that can keep it close and stick to the ground game.




Georgia Bulldogs Betting Analysis

Kirby Smart is fully aware of Stetson Bennett's limitations as a quarterback, but Smart continues to roll with Bennett as he protects the ball and doesn't try to play outside the system. Bennett is completing 67.2% of his passes for 3,151 yards (8.6 YPA) with 16 touchdowns and six interceptions this season. He hasn't thrown for more than 300 yards in a game since October, and he isn't much of a mobile threat, so don't expect Georgia to score a lot of points considering the circumstances this weekend.

The Bulldogs are ranked just outside the Top 25 in Offensive SP+. They have two running backs that have proven to be equally effective carrying the load in Kenny McIntosh and Daijun Edwards, and Kendall Milton is averaging 6.6 YPC as an occasional big play threat. McIntosh is also the third leading receiver on Georgia, ranking behind star tight end Brock Bowers and Ladd McConkey. Bowers is the biggest weapon in this offense, but we haven't seen much production out of him over the last month. Since a monster outing against Florida, Bowers has caught just 15 passes for 98 yards and two touchdowns over Georgia's last four games.

Georgia has the best defense in the country with an exclamation point. The Bulldogs lost a ton of talent to the NFL after last year's national championship, but they are still ranked No. 1 in Defensive SP+. They are allowing just 12.4 PPG and 283.6 YPG this season, and they rank first nationally in red zone defense. Georgia is doing this without a lot of havoc plays, forcing just 13 turnovers and registering a grand total of 22 sacks. No one on the Bulldogs recorded more than three sacks this season as Smart's defense simply kept everything in front of it.

LSU Tigers Betting Analysis

Brian Kelly has to receive a ton of credit for the job he did at LSU in his first season. Although LSU is one of the best 10-12 head coaching gigs in the nation, the situation he came into this offseason was not ideal. A substantial percentage of players left the program either through graduation or the transfer portal, leaving Kelly with little depth and a lot of fresh faces. That was apparent in the team's clunky performance in a season opening loss to Florida State, but Kelly was eventually able to turn the team around and make the Bayou Bengals into SEC West Champions.

Arizona State transfer Jayden Daniels was mainly a mobile threat early on this season. Daniels became more of a passer the more comfortable he became in Kelly's system and finished with solid numbers, completing 68.6% of his passes for 2,566 yards (7.4 YPA) with 15 touchdowns and two interceptions. Daniels was sacked a whopping 40 times, but his stats as a runner are superb if you take out the sack yardage. In just 134 carries, Daniels amassed 1,008 rushing yards and 11 touchdowns.

Malik Nabers is the top receiver for the Tigers with 58 receptions for 726 yards and a touchdown. Kayshon Boutte is an effective underneath target with 42 receptions for 431 yards and a touchdown, but no one else has more than 30 receptions in this offense. Josh Williams is the top running back on the Tigers, and he is expected to be the starter on Saturday after missing the last two weeks with a knee injury. Noah Cain and John Emery Jr. should also see some work in the backfield for LSU.

LSU's defense is ranked 23rd in SP+. The Tigers have done a solid job against the run, allowing just 3.9 YPC, and they are giving up 21.9 PPG this season. Tennessee was the only offense that really torched this unit, and Georgia does not have the same big play capability. Standout freshman Harold Perkins Jr. leads the Tigers with 7.5 sacks, and defensive end B.J. Ojulari can get to the quarterback too.




Purdue Boilermakers Betting Analysis

Purdue had the same exact record last year as they head into Saturday’s showdown trying to win their first conference title since 2000. In 2021 that finish was only good enough for fourth place in the West. This year their offense is averaging over 28 points a game and they’re 21st in passing years with Aidan O’Connell throwing for over 3,100 yards so far including 22 touchdowns and 11 interceptions.

In their last four games, the Boilermakers put up 30 against IU and 31 versus Illinois but totaled only 20 points in the other two. Those were against Northwestern and Iowa, two defenses that will never be confused with Michigan’s. On that side of the ball, Purdue has been outrushed in four of its last five including allowing 215 yards to Indiana.

Michigan Wolverines Betting Analysis

If you told your sports betting buddies that Michigan was going to beat Ohio State, in the Horseshoe, by 22, as nine-point underdogs, they may have asked you to take a drug test. Piling up over 500 yards of offense isn’t as hard as it sounds when you have two scoring plays of 45 and 69 yards each, another couple that both covered 75 yards, and none of those were even your longest touchdown of the game. That offense is ranked seventh in the nation averaging over 39 points a game, but it may have been their defense that made the loudest statement.

Ohio State had scored 43 points or more in seven of their last eight heading into that contest with TTUN and the Wolverines held them to three points in the second half. Michigan is number two in yards allowed, third in both rushing yards, at less than 85 a game, and points allowed at under 13 each week. The fact that they’re sitting in the second playoff spot for a chance to win their first National Championship since 1997 should help them show up in a game where they’re listed at -905 on the money line.

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Clemson Tigers Betting Analysis

The Tigers have been centered around DJ Uiagalelei for a couple years now, but it's been rocky sailing over time, as Uiagalelei has not shown near his ceiling that flashed in limited action backing up Trevor Lawrence a few years back. The team has struggled to win games in which it needed its quarterback to step up in the clutch, and there have been questions as to whether DJU would leave for the NFL or not after this season.

Will Shipley has been the heart and soul of this offense, and has run for almost 1,100 yards this season with 14 rushing touchdowns while catching 30 balls for 195 yards, proving that he has the three-down skillset that NFL scouts salivate over. 6 teams have run the ball 40+ times against the Tar Heels this season, and it seems like Clemson will employ that same game plan in this matchup.

On the defensive side, Clemson has a few stud prospects like DT Bryan Bresee and EDGE Myles Murphy to disrupt opposing offenses and will no doubt employ them a bunch to try and rattle Drake Maye.

UNC Tar Heels Betting Analysis

ACC Player of the Year Drake Maye is obviously the leader of this UNC offense, and this team has rallied around him as they try to make some late-season noise. He is in the late stages of a Heisman-worthy campaign (and would be more closely considered if Caleb Williams didn't exist) with 3,847 passing yards, 35 touchdowns, only 5 interceptions, and adding over 600 yards and 6 touchdowns rushing as well.

Josh Downs is Maye's best friend, racking up 21 touchdowns over his past 24 games and adding 929 receiving yards and 11 touchdowns this season. He has 4 straight games of at least 100 receiving yards and projects as one of the top wide receivers in the upcoming NFL Draft.

The Tar Heels will need to win this game on the strength of their offense, not the defense, as too many times this season they have been prone to getting into shootouts where they just run out of steam. The key to their win here will be limiting Shipley on the ground and forcing Uiagalelei into some mistakes.


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